Birthrates Are Plummeting Worldwide. Why?

March 19, 2024

Guests: Jennifer D. Sciubba

Jennifer Sciubba is a political scientist and demographer, the author of "8 Billion and Counting: How Sex, Death, and Migration Shape Our World," who advises national security and finance audiences on population trends.

Listen to the episode

About this episode

Why do birthrates plummet as societies get richer? Klein poses the puzzle; demographer Jennifer Sciubba answers it's a shift in values and norms: as education, income, and options expand, children become one choice competing with careers, free time, and self-expression, and the logistics of "family planning" make delaying easy. She notes India fell below replacement without getting rich, showing state policy can drive fertility down — but no country has sustainably raised it back up. Romania's coercive pro-natalism under Ceausescu worked only while enforced; South Korea, Japan, Hungary, and Scandinavia have spent billions with nothing to show, partly because culture blunts policy. Modern parenting has become brutally intensive — a working mother today spends more time with her kids than a 1960s stay-at-home mom — and low fertility feeds on itself. Sciubba's verdict: 1.5–1.9 isn't doom if societies adapt; support families for their own sake rather than chasing a number.

Read the transcript

Books recommended

0

No book recommendations recorded for this episode.